According to Prof Marc Weller, history shows that international administration without a political endgame always fails.
Publications
Why Gaza Won’t End Up Like East Timor or Kosovo
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Ukraine
Trump Calls for ‘Immediate Ceasefire’ in Ukraine After Meeting Zelensky in Paris
Donald Trump on Sunday pushed Russian leader Vladimir Putin to act to reach an immediate ceasefire with Ukraine, describing it as part of his active efforts as president-elect to end the war despite being weeks from taking office.
Yemen
Yemen can’t wait ‘forever’ for peace roadmap, UN envoy says
Yemen has been relatively peaceful since the start of a UN brokered ceasefire in April 2022, even as the Houthis have attacked shipping in the Red Sea.
Middle East
Qatar says ‘momentum’ building back up in Gaza ceasefire efforts
A month after suspending its mediation bid, Qatar has said it sees “momentum” in efforts to reach a deal to end Israel’s war on the Gaza Strip, as dozens of Palestinians were killed in the Israeli military’s continued attacks on the besieged enclave.
Middle East
Donald Trump’s Middle East envoy met Israel and Qatar PMs to broker ceasefire
Steven Witkoff held talks with Netanyahu and Sheikh Mohammed to discuss deal ahead of inauguration
Ukraine
Russia and Ukraine wait warily for Trump transition … and subsequent peace talks
President-elect’s strategy on ending war is yet to emerge but interviews with Ukrainian officials and Russians suggest a compromise may be hard to find
Syria
There is now a window of opportunity for peace in Syria
The opposition taking control of Aleppo may give it enough leverage to jumpstart peace negotiations.
Myanmar
Armed ethnic rebels in northeast Myanmar declare ceasefire and seek talks
A major ethnic rebel group in Myanmar has announced a unilateral ceasefire in its conflict with the ruling military and called for a dialogue under Chinese auspices to help restore peace in the country’s northeast.
Ukraine
Trump’s plan for Ukraine comes into focus: Territorial concessions but NATO off the table
Advisers to Donald Trump publicly and privately are floating proposals to end the Ukraine war that would cede large parts of the country to Russia for the foreseeable future, according to a Reuters analysis of their statements and interviews with several people close to the U.S. president-elect.